Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LOULE (PORTUGAL), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Jules Marie		Pedro Araujo

	1	2
	1.22	3.75
	1.25	3.55
	1.24	3.83
	1.25	3.83
	1.25	3.75
	1.24	3.77	Watch
	1.17	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	3.83 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
75.6%

Pedro Araujo
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jules Marie's performance.

Pedro Araujo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Araujo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jules Marie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Araujo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Araujo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Araujo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marie is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Jules Marie - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Jules Marie - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Jules Marie - Martim Simoes	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Jules Marie - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.24	Jules Marie - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Pedro Araujo
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Pedro Araujo	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Alberto Barroso Campos - Pedro Araujo	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Pedro Araujo - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Pedro Araujo - Duarte Vale	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Pedro Araujo - Evan Furness	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.06.22	Jules Marie - Pedro Araujo	2:0

Jules Marie - Pedro Araujo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide