Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Vitoria - Gasteiz, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Julia Garcia		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.35	2.9	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.29	3.32	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Garcia
70.9%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lucia Cortez Llorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Garcia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

Garcia is ranked WTA: 931. Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 445.

Garcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cortez Llorca has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cortez Llorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Garcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garcia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Garcia
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Julia Garcia - Charlotte Keitel	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Julia Garcia	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Kylie Collins - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Anna Frey - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Tena Lukas - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Diletta Cherubini - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2

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