Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday


	Ekaterina Kazionova		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Kazionova
49.9%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Kazionova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Kazionova than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekaterina Kazionova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucia Cortez Llorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ekaterina Kazionova - Lucia Cortez Llorca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kazionova is ranked WTA: 450. Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 375.

Kazionova has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cortez Llorca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cortez Llorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ekaterina Kazionova - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Lucia Cortez Llorca - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Kazionova
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Natalija Senic - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ekaterina Kazionova	Ortenzi J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLL?
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
27.05.25	Ilinca Dalina Amariei - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ashley Lahey	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Kiara Nina Kucikova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Alba Salles Canudas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLW

Ekaterina Kazionova - Lucia Cortez Llorca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide