Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Julia Riera		Darja Semenistaja

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.44	1.61
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	2.40	1.56
	2.34	1.63	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.73)	1.66 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
42.8%

Darja Semenistaja
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Julia Riera's form might have worsened.

Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Semenistaja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Julia Riera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Semenistaja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Julia Riera - Darja Semenistaja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Riera is ranked WTA: 182. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 104.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Semenistaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Riera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Darja Semenistaja - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Martina Trevisan - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Emily Seibold - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Julia Riera - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW
- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
29.06.26	Antonia Ruzic - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Nao Hibino	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Darja Semenistaja - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Darja Semenistaja - Julia Riera	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.05.24	Julia Riera - Darja Semenistaja	2:1

Julia Riera - Darja Semenistaja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide