Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Vacaria, clay - Final

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Julia Riera		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	3.90
	1.26	3.50
	1.23	4.32
	1.21	3.89	Watch
	1.21	4.25
	1.20	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	3.99 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
76.6%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Riera's performance.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucciana Perez Alarcon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julia Riera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucciana Perez Alarcon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julia Riera - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Riera is ranked WTA: 166. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 375.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, Riera is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Julia Riera - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Julia Riera - Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Julia Riera - Carolina Bohrer Martins	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Julia Riera - Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Daria Egorova	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Pietra Rivoli - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Francesca Mattioli - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Camila Romero - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

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