Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Julia Riera

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.70
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.13	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.71
	2.10	1.74	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
44.5%

Julia Riera
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 209. Riera is ranked WTA: 175.

Brancaccio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Riera is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Riera will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brancaccio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuria Brancaccio - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.58%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Eva Vedder	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Zhibek Kulambayeva	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Julia Grabher - Nuria Brancaccio	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLL?
- Julia Riera
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Danka Kovinic - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Julia Riera - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Martina Trevisan - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Emily Seibold - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	0:2
ITF Tournaments
21.03.23	Julia Riera - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.01.23	Julia Riera - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2
31.08.22	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera	1:2

Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Riera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide