Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Carvalho A. (Bra)


	Julia Riera		Sara Errani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.15
	1.68	2.24
	1.68	2.24
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.71	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.17)	2.15 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
56.1%

Sara Errani
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Riera's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julia Riera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Julia Riera - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Riera will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Errani will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riera: 42.8% – 90.6%.

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Preview

Riera in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Errani is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
ITF Tournaments
21.04.24	Julia Riera - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Berfu Cengiz - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Julia Riera - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Julia Riera - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Julia Riera - Barbora Palicova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Sara Errani
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Jasmine Paolini - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
06.04.24	Sara Errani - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Irina Maria Bara - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

Julia Riera - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide