Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bogota (Colombia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	SportKlub
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:30	Sport 2
France	20:30	beIN Sports Max
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports
Portugal	19:30	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	20:30	SportKlub
Slovenia	20:30	SportKlub


	Sara Errani		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.45
	2.75	1.51
	2.75	1.51
	2.5	1.53
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.07)	1.5 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Errani
36.4%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
63.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Errani's form might have worsened.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Errani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Sara Errani - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Errani will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osorio Serrano: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Errani is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osorio Serrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Osorio Serrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Osorio Serrano to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Errani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Errani
WTA Bogota
05.04.24	Irina Maria Bara - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Sara Errani - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.24	Alexandra Eala - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Sara Errani - Yafan Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Bogota
05.04.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Marina Stakusic	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
18.03.24	Nadia Podoroska - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	McCartney Kessler - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.20	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sara Errani	0:2
02.11.19	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sara Errani	1:2

Sara Errani - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano