Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday


	Julian Ocleppo		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.7	2.08
	1.67	2.25
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.63	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.14)	2.11 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Julian Ocleppo
55.7%

Salvatore Caruso
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julian Ocleppo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julian Ocleppo's performance.

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salvatore Caruso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julian Ocleppo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julian Ocleppo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salvatore Caruso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: Julian Ocleppo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Ocleppo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Caruso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ocleppo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ocleppo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julian Ocleppo
ATP Challenger
26.06.23	Mathias Bourgue - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Julian Ocleppo - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Julian Ocleppo	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Leopold Zima - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Luca Fantini - Julian Ocleppo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Andrea Collarini - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
16.06.23	Alexander Ritschard - Salvatore Caruso	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.03.23	Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso	2:0

Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide