Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday


	Julio Cesar Porras		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.1
	1.31	3.13	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.18	Watch
	1.31	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)	3.17 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julio Cesar Porras
70.8%

Tristan McCormick
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julio Cesar Porras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julio Cesar Porras's performance.

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan McCormick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Julio Cesar Porras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan McCormick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Julio Cesar Porras - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Porras is ranked ATP: 583. McCormick is ranked ATP: 728.

Porras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches McCormick is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porras will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
05.09.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Mario Mansilla Diez	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Julio Cesar Porras - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Julio Cesar Porras - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
05.09.24	Tristan McCormick - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Tristan McCormick - Pavlo Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Ryan Dickerson - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Tristan McCormick - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Tristan McCormick - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

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