Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Yanagawa City, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yanagawa City 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jumpei Yamasaki		Noritaka Koizumi

	1	2
	1.30	3.10
	1.32	3.05
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.29	3.29
	1.32	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)	3.11 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jumpei Yamasaki
70.4%

Noritaka Koizumi
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jumpei Yamasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jumpei Yamasaki's performance.

Noritaka Koizumi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noritaka Koizumi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jumpei Yamasaki than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jumpei Yamasaki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noritaka Koizumi than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noritaka Koizumi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Yamasaki is ranked ATP: 1131., and Koizumi is ranked ATP: 916..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Yamasaki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Yamasaki is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jumpei Yamasaki
ITF Tournaments
27.10.26	Jumpei Yamasaki - James Connel	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Chun-Chien Hou - Jumpei Yamasaki	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Markus Malaszszak - Jumpei Yamasaki	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Jumpei Yamasaki - Yuta Tomida	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Jumpei Yamasaki - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Noritaka Koizumi
ITF Tournaments
27.10.26	Hikaru Hieda - Noritaka Koizumi	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Riku Takahata - Noritaka Koizumi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.09.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Noritaka Koizumi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

Jumpei Yamasaki - Noritaka Koizumi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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