Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Juncheng Shang		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	3.95	1.25
	4	1.25
	4.33	1.26
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.47)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
23.3%

Francis Tiafoe
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.4%	0%	79.6%

Juncheng Shang - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (39 of 49 users predict this - 79.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.3% – 90.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shang is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tiafoe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shang won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Ben Shelton - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
31.07.23	Juncheng Shang - Emilio Gomez	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Juncheng Shang - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Juncheng Shang - Gage Brymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
27.07.23	Kei Nishikori - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
06.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Dominic Stephan Stricker	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Yibing Wu	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
29.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.23	Juncheng Shang - Francis Tiafoe	0:3

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