Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: No. 2 Court (London)


	Francis Tiafoe		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.88	1.92
	1.85	2.01
	1.91	2
	1.8	2
	7.1	1.1	Watch
	7	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (1.77)	1.76 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
35.9%

Grigor Dimitrov
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigor Dimitrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	0%	19.6%

Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (78 of 97 users predict this - 80.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.51% – 88.31%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dimitrov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Dominic Stephan Stricker	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Francis Tiafoe - Yibing Wu	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
29.06.23	Novak Djokovic - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP London
21.06.23	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Ilya Ivashka - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
05.07.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
ATP London
23.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
19.01.19	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	3:1
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.18	Francis Tiafoe - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Toronto
09.08.18	Grigor Dimitrov - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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