Match Info

Date: 19 June 2020, Friday


	Jurgen Melzer		Alexander Erler

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95	Watch
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.37	3.14
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	3.02 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurgen Melzer
69%

Alexander Erler
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurgen Melzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurgen Melzer's performance.

Alexander Erler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Erler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurgen Melzer than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurgen Melzer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Erler than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Erler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Jurgen Melzer - Alexander Erler Predictions

Users Predictions: Jurgen Melzer will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurgen Melzer
Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
18.06.20	Jurgen Melzer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
17.06.20	Jurgen Melzer - David Pichler	2:1 ✺
16.06.20	Jurgen Melzer - Lenny Hampel	2:0 ✺
06.06.20	Jurgen Melzer - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
04.06.20	Jurgen Melzer - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Alexander Erler
Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
18.06.20	Lukas Neumayer - Alexander Erler	1:2 ✺
17.06.20	David Novak - Alexander Erler	2:0 ✺
16.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Alexander Erler	2:1 ✺
12.06.20	Alexander Erler - David Novak	0:2 ✺
09.06.20	Jonas Trinker - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Jurgen Melzer - Alexander Erler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide