Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prostejov, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Jurij Rodionov		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.68
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.58	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.88)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
43.8%

Lukas Neumayer
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jurij Rodionov's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Jurij Rodionov - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Neumayer will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Neumayer (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Neumayer (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Neumayer (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 226. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 182.

In recent matches, Rodionov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neumayer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Neumayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.1%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Jurij Rodionov - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Jurij Rodionov - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Jurij Rodionov - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Christopher Eubanks - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Jurij Rodionov - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Jerome Kym	Neumayer L. walkover ✺
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WL?WW

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