Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lukas Neumayer		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.35	1.55
	2.41	1.54
	2.34	1.62
	2.32	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.3	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3)	1.56 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
39.7%

Ignacio Buse
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Buse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Buse will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Buse (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 158. Buse is ranked ATP: 136.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Buse might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neumayer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Lukas Neumayer - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Ignacio Buse	2:1

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