Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quebec City 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jurij Rodionov		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.03	1.7
	2.09	1.8
	1.99	1.73
	2.06	1.78	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
45.8%

Rei Sakamoto
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 134. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodionov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Niels McDonald - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Ugo Blanchet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2
12.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	2:0
27.11.23	Rei Sakamoto - Jurij Rodionov	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Billy Harris	✺

Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto