Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.33	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.62
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.05)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
40.1%

Jurij Rodionov
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 50%). Rodionov (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 171. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 143.

Schwaerzler is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rodionov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodionov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Federico Bondioli - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.26	Jurij Rodionov - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Jurij Rodionov - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
13.07.26	Clement Tabur - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Mathys Erhard - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Remy Bertola - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1

Joel Schwaerzler - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide