Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Justin Barki		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	3.95	1.21
	3.94	1.24
	4.61	1.17	Watch
	4	1.22
	3.73	1.23	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (1.84)	1.32 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Barki
26.4%

Hiroki Moriya
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Barki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justin Barki's form might have worsened.

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hiroki Moriya's recent form is better than expected.

Justin Barki - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moriya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Moriya (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Moriya (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Barki (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Barki (votes: 2 - 25%). Moriya (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barki is ranked ATP: 1531. Moriya is ranked ATP: 515.

Moriya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Barki
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Justin Barki - Karol Filar	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Chase Ferguson - Justin Barki	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Justin Barki - Corban Crowther	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Justin Barki - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Justin Barki - Michael Dylan Jimenez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Hiroki Moriya - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sanhui Shin - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Shintaro Imai - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Markus Malaszszak - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW

Justin Barki - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide