Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	2.38 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
61%

Hiroki Moriya
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Joel Schwaerzler - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Moriya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Moriya (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 254. Moriya is ranked ATP: 502.

Moriya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Shintaro Imai - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Markus Malaszszak - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Hiroki Moriya - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	James McCabe - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL

Joel Schwaerzler - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide