Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Justin Boulais		Johannus Monday

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.12	1.65
	2.19	1.69
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.14	1.66
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Boulais
43.8%

Johannus Monday
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Boulais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Johannus Monday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justin Boulais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Johannus Monday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Justin Boulais - Johannus Monday Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boulais is ranked ATP: 422. Monday is ranked ATP: 295.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boulais may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monday could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Justin Boulais - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Johannus Monday - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.39%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Boulais
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	August Holmgren - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Justin Boulais - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Millen Hurrion - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW
- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Johannus Monday - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Johannus Monday - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Johannus Monday - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Johannus Monday - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP London
13.06.26	Johannus Monday - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

Justin Boulais - Johannus Monday: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide