Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Justin Boulais		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	3.2	Watch
	1.25	4.07
	1.26	3.49	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.29	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.54)	3.51 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Justin Boulais
73.4%

Tristan McCormick
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Boulais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Justin Boulais's performance.

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan McCormick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justin Boulais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan McCormick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Justin Boulais - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulais (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Justin Boulais will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Boulais is ranked ATP: 546. McCormick is ranked ATP: 499.

Boulais has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

McCormick has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boulais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boulais is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Boulais
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Justin Boulais - Jack Kennedy	Canceled ✺
28.10.25	Cannon Kingsley - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Justin Boulais - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Trevor Svajda - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Justin Boulais - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?LWWL
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Tristan McCormick - Keaton Hance	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Tristan McCormick - Noah Zamora	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nicholas Godsick - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches