Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 POZNAN (POLAND), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday


	Kai Wehnelt		Alexander Maarten Jong

	1	2
	2.56	1.49
	2.58	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kai Wehnelt
36.5%

Alexander Maarten Jong
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kai Wehnelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alexander Maarten Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kai Wehnelt than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kai Wehnelt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Maarten Jong than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Maarten Jong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Wehnelt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jong is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jong will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Jong to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wehnelt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kai Wehnelt
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Siim Troost - Kai Wehnelt	1:2 ✺
14.08.23	Kai Wehnelt - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.08.23	Georgii Kravchenko - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL
- Alexander Maarten Jong
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Alexander Maarten Jong - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Michael Agwi - Alexander Maarten Jong	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Elmer Moeller - Alexander Maarten Jong	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Alexander Maarten Jong - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Alexander Maarten Jong - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.23	Kai Wehnelt - Alexander Maarten Jong	0:2

Kai Wehnelt - Alexander Maarten Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide