Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Kai Wehnelt		Marcel Zielinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.26
	1.56	2.47
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.52	2.4
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	2.32 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kai Wehnelt
59.9%

Marcel Zielinski
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kai Wehnelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kai Wehnelt than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kai Wehnelt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcel Zielinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kai Wehnelt - Marcel Zielinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wehnelt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zielinski will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wehnelt is ranked ATP: 573. Zielinski is ranked ATP: 531.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zielinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kai Wehnelt
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Mika Brunold - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Facundo Mena - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Kai Wehnelt - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Robert Strombachs - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Kai Wehnelt - Daniel Siniakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW
- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Liam Gavrielides - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Heorhii Shylov - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Alen Mujakic - Marcel Zielinski	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Janis Graski - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Marcel Zielinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Kai Wehnelt - Marcel Zielinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide