Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Kaichi Uchida		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.54
	2.24	1.59	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.74)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
37.6%

Sho Shimabukuro
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaichi Uchida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sho Shimabukuro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 309. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 147.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shimabukuro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Shimabukuro will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uchida won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	James Duckworth - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Mukund Sasikumar - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Maximus Jones - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Kokoro Isomura - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Henrique Rocha - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ryan Peniston - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1
13.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Kaichi Uchida	2:0
24.11.22	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1
08.11.22	Kaichi Uchida - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Upcoming Matches