Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Kaitlin Quevedo		Simona Waltert

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.90	1.47
	2.78	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.43
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (1.71)	1.44 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaitlin Quevedo
34.4%

Simona Waltert
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaitlin Quevedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaitlin Quevedo's form might have worsened.

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simona Waltert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaitlin Quevedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Simona Waltert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kaitlin Quevedo - Simona Waltert Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Quevedo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Waltert will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quevedo: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Waltert (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waltert (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Quevedo is ranked WTA: 107. Waltert is ranked WTA: 90.

Quevedo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Waltert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaitlin Quevedo - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaitlin Quevedo
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Tiana Tian Deng - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Sayaka Ishii	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW
- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Simona Waltert - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Simona Waltert - Aneta Laboutkova	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Simona Waltert - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
20.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL

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