Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Simona Waltert		Katarzyna Kawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.68	2.15
	1.70	2.19
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.68	2.16
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
56.1%

Katarzyna Kawa
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Simona Waltert - Katarzyna Kawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kawa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Kawa (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 90. Kawa is ranked WTA: 119.

Waltert is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kawa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Kawa will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Waltert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Simona Waltert - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.59%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
20.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Simona Waltert - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Simona Waltert - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.26	Simona Waltert - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Susan Bandecchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Simona Waltert	0:2
ITF Tournaments
04.02.20	Simona Waltert - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2
17.10.19	Simona Waltert - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2

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