Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tehran 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Karan Singh		Matteo Covato

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.37	3
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.09	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.59)	3.08 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karan Singh
69.8%

Matteo Covato
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karan Singh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karan Singh's performance.

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Covato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karan Singh than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karan Singh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Covato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karan Singh - Matteo Covato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Singh is ranked ATP: 518. Covato is ranked ATP: 1113.

Singh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Covato is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Singh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Singh is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Covato will win today's game, with odds of 3.19.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karan Singh
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Karan Singh - Ali Yazdani	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Karan Singh - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Karan Singh - Aleksandre Bakshi	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Florent Bax - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Jay Clarke - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Matteo Covato
ITF Tournaments
16.05.25	Matteo Covato - Artur Kukasian	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Denis Klok - Matteo Covato	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Fadi Bidan - Matteo Covato	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Matteo Covato - Ali Yazdani	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Saveliy Ivanov - Matteo Covato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWLW

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