Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Karen Khachanov		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.43
	1.57	2.55
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	2.52 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
62.7%

Fabio Fognini
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.7%	0%	74.3%

Karen Khachanov - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Fognini will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Australian Open
25.01.20	Nick Kyrgios - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
23.01.20	Mikael Ymer - Karen Khachanov	2:3 ✺
20.01.20	Mario Vilella Martinez - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.20	Karen Khachanov - John Millman	1:2 ✺
ATP Cup
10.01.20	Dusan Lajovic - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Australian Open
26.01.20	Tennys Sandgren - Fabio Fognini	3:1 ✺
24.01.20	Guido Pella - Fabio Fognini	0:3 ✺
22.01.20	Jordan Thompson - Fabio Fognini	2:3 ✺
20.01.20	Reilly Opelka - Fabio Fognini	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.20	Fabio Fognini - Feliciano Lopez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
10.10.19	Fabio Fognini - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Beijing
04.10.19	Karen Khachanov - Fabio Fognini	2:1

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