Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LAS FRANQUESAS DEL VALLES (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2023, Thursday


	Karl Friberg		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.57	1.48
	2.63	1.51
	2.62	1.44
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.96)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Friberg
36.1%

Marco Trungelliti
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Friberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Friberg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karl Friberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karl Friberg - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Friberg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trungelliti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trungelliti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Trungelliti will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Friberg
ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Karl Friberg - Bogdan Bobrov	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Bruno Pujol Navarro - Karl Friberg	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Ignasi De Rueda De Genover - Karl Friberg	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Karl Friberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Joao Domingues - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Aziz Dougaz - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Marco Trungelliti - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Marco Trungelliti - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.23	Marco Trungelliti - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Karl Friberg - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide