Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Idanha-a-Nova (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday


	Karl Poling		Gabriel Elicha Navas

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
	1.25	3.45
	1.3	3.31
	1.26	3.51	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.51	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)	3.45 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
73.2%

Gabriel Elicha Navas
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karl Poling's performance.

Gabriel Elicha Navas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriel Elicha Navas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karl Poling that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Elicha Navas than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriel Elicha Navas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 870. Elicha Navas is ranked ATP: 1361.

Two players are playing changeable.

Poling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Poling will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Karl Poling - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Omni Kumar - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.24	Karl Poling - Nicholas Heng	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Karl Poling - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Karl Poling - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLLW
- Gabriel Elicha Navas
ATP Challenger
14.07.24	Gabriel Elicha Navas - Benjamin Winter Lopez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.07.24	Mili Poljicak - Gabriel Elicha Navas	2:0 ✺
05.07.24	Gabriel Elicha Navas - Nicolas Jadoun	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Boris Butulija - Gabriel Elicha Navas	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Alan Magadan - Gabriel Elicha Navas	Magadan A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWW?

Karl Poling - Gabriel Elicha Navas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide