Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)


	Karolina Pliskova		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.45	1.32
	3.77	1.31
	3.62	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.42	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.31)	1.32 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Pliskova
27.4%

Jasmine Paolini
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Karolina Pliskova - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Paolini will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pliskova is ranked WTA: 44. Paolini is ranked WTA: 5.

Two players are playing changeable.

Pliskova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paolini is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pliskova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
WTA US Open
27.08.24	Mayar Sherif - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Karolina Pliskova - Viktoriya Tomova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
07.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Nadia Podoroska - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA US Open
27.08.24	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
15.08.24	Anastasia Potapova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
30.07.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
29.07.24	Magda Linette - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
09.02.21	Jasmine Paolini - Karolina Pliskova	0:2

Karolina Pliskova - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide