The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karolina Pliskova 62.8%
Paula Badosa 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Karolina Pliskova - Paula Badosa Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 39 - 60%). Badosa will win (votes: 26 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 48.1% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.
Pliskova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Badosa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Badosa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.