Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seoul - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Kasidit Samrej		Takuya Kumasaka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.25	3.65	Watch
	1.5	2.49	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.85)	2.76 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasidit Samrej
65.8%

Takuya Kumasaka
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasidit Samrej's performance.

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Takuya Kumasaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasidit Samrej that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Takuya Kumasaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samrej is ranked ATP: 411. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 527.

Samrej has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kumasaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Samrej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samrej won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Kaito Uesugi	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Evan Zhu - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Seita Watanabe - Takuya Kumasaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.09.23	Takuya Kumasaka - Kasidit Samrej	2:1
13.07.23	Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0
04.07.23	Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0

Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide