Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Katarina Zavatska		Ekaterina Ovcharenko

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.6	2.34
	1.23	3.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.91)	2.48 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarina Zavatska
60.8%

Ekaterina Ovcharenko
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarina Zavatska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katarina Zavatska's performance.

Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Ovcharenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarina Zavatska than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katarina Zavatska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katarina Zavatska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zavatska (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zavatska is ranked WTA: 419. Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 437.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarina Zavatska
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Katarina Zavatska	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Katarina Zavatska	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Han Shi - Katarina Zavatska	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Meiqi Guo - Katarina Zavatska	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Despina Papamichail - Katarina Zavatska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLL
- Ekaterina Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Ekaterina Ovcharenko - Jia-Jing Lu	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Weronika Falkowska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Selina Atay - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL

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