Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Katarzyna Kawa		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.10	1.70
	2.10	1.72
	2.19	1.78
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.09	1.70	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)	1.75 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarzyna Kawa
45.8%

Lucia Bronzetti
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katarzyna Kawa's form might have worsened.

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Bronzetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katarzyna Kawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Katarzyna Kawa - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kawa will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bronzetti will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kawa is ranked WTA: 143. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 147.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Kawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarzyna Kawa
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Dominika Salkova - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL
- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Xinyu Gao - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Leyre Romero Gormaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Chennai
29.10.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1

Katarzyna Kawa - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide