Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Lucia Bronzetti		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.80	2.12
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.76	2.08
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.71	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
54.2%

Laura Samsonova
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Laura Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucia Bronzetti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucia Bronzetti will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 118. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 153.

Bronzetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsonova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bronzetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bronzetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Laura Samsonova - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Miriana Tona - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. Retired ✺
28.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Alesia Breaz	2:0 ✺
WTA Prague
21.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Gina Feistel - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Samsonova	2:0

Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide