Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Katarzyna Kawa		Nuria Parrizas Diaz

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.04	1.8
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.03	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.2)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarzyna Kawa
45.8%

Nuria Parrizas Diaz
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarzyna Kawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Nuria Parrizas Diaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Parrizas Diaz than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Katarzyna Kawa - Nuria Parrizas Diaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kawa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kawa is ranked WTA: 132. Parrizas Diaz is ranked WTA: 83.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Katarzyna Kawa - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Nuria Parrizas Diaz - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarzyna Kawa
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Tamara Zidansek	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
26.06.25	Iva Jovic - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Amarni Banks - Katarzyna Kawa	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Ranah Akua Stoiber - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Nuria Parrizas Diaz
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Louisa Chirico - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	Parrizas-Diaz N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.08.21	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Katarzyna Kawa	2:1
WTA Gdynia
19.07.21	Katarzyna Kawa - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	Canceled

Katarzyna Kawa - Nuria Parrizas Diaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide