Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Valencia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Xinyu Gao		Nuria Parrizas Diaz

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.41	1.61
	2.2	1.62
	2.32	1.6	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinyu Gao
42.1%

Nuria Parrizas Diaz
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinyu Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nuria Parrizas Diaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Parrizas Diaz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Xinyu Gao - Nuria Parrizas Diaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Parrizas Diaz will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Parrizas Diaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gao is ranked WTA: 161. Parrizas Diaz is ranked WTA: 104.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Xinyu Gao - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Xinyu Gao - Alina Korneeva	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Xinyu Gao - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Shuai Zhang - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- Nuria Parrizas Diaz
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	Parrizas-Diaz N. walkover ✺
12.06.25	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Anca Alexia Todoni - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Viktoriya Tomova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?WWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Renata Zarazua - Xinyu Gao	✺

Xinyu Gao - Nuria Parrizas Diaz