Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 San Diego, CA, hard - Final

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Kate Fakih		Alina Shcherbinina

	1	2
	3.80	1.21
	3.65	1.23
	4.18	1.24
	4.12	1.18	Watch
	4.10	1.22
	4.30	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.75)	1.21 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kate Fakih
23.1%

Alina Shcherbinina
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kate Fakih has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kate Fakih's form might have worsened.

Alina Shcherbinina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Shcherbinina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kate Fakih than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kate Fakih, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Shcherbinina than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Shcherbinina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kate Fakih - Alina Shcherbinina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fakih is ranked WTA: 1227. Shcherbinina is ranked WTA: 846.

Fakih is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shcherbinina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shcherbinina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Shcherbinina will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kate Fakih
ITF Tournaments
04.07.26	Kate Fakih - Annabele Xu	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Maria Aytoyan - Kate Fakih	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Kelly Keller - Kate Fakih	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Kate Fakih - Anita Sahdiieva	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Brandelyn Fulgenzi - Kate Fakih	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWL
- Alina Shcherbinina
ITF Tournaments
04.07.26	Salma Ewing - Alina Shcherbinina	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Jo-Yee Chan - Alina Shcherbinina	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Alina Shcherbinina - Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Alina Shcherbinina - Kayla Chung	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Alina Shcherbinina - Monika Ekstrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

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