Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 San Diego, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Aytoyan		Kate Fakih

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Maria Aytoyan
46.3%

Kate Fakih
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Aytoyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Kate Fakih has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Aytoyan than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Aytoyan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kate Fakih than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kate Fakih could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Aytoyan is ranked WTA: 1399. Fakih is ranked WTA: 1227.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Aytoyan
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Alexandra Vagramov - Maria Aytoyan	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Yilin Chen - Maria Aytoyan	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Maria Aytoyan - Salma Ewing	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Maria Aytoyan - Kaitlyn Carnicella	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Claire Hill - Maria Aytoyan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLW
- Kate Fakih
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Kelly Keller - Kate Fakih	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Kate Fakih - Anita Sahdiieva	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Brandelyn Fulgenzi - Kate Fakih	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Stefania Rogozinska Dzik - Kate Fakih	Fakih K. Retired ✺
04.06.26	Ava Hrastar - Kate Fakih	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWL?L

Maria Aytoyan - Kate Fakih