Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Baza, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Kate Mansfield		Carmen Lopez Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.52
	1.35	2.87	Watch
	1.47	2.53	Watch
	1.67	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.83)	2.48 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kate Mansfield
62.4%

Carmen Lopez Martinez
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kate Mansfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kate Mansfield's performance.

Carmen Lopez Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carmen Lopez Martinez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kate Mansfield than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kate Mansfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmen Lopez Martinez than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carmen Lopez Martinez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kate Mansfield - Carmen Lopez Martinez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mansfield is ranked WTA: 1052. Lopez Martinez is ranked WTA: 853.

Mansfield is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lopez Martinez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lopez Martinez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kate Mansfield
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Lorena Solar Donoso - Kate Mansfield	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Valentina Losciale	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Ashleigh Simes	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Elizabeth Jurna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Carmen Lopez Martinez
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Shiyu Ye	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Maria Penalver Aguilo	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Min Liu	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Lorena Solar Donoso - Carmen Lopez Martinez	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Kate Mansfield - Carmen Lopez Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide