Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2022, Thursday


	Kateryna Baindl		Sara Errani

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.63	2.1
	1.66	2.25
	1.67	2.2
	1.65	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.01)	2.19 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kateryna Baindl
57%

Sara Errani
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kateryna Baindl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kateryna Baindl's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kateryna Baindl than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kateryna Baindl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Kateryna Baindl - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Baindl will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Errani will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Errani: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baindl is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Errani is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Errani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baindl won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kateryna Baindl
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Yuki Naito - Kateryna Baindl	Canceled ✺
16.11.22	Ipek Oz - Kateryna Baindl	1:2
13.11.22	Mayar Sherif - Kateryna Baindl	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Kateryna Baindl - Danka Kovinic	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Kateryna Baindl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WLWW
- Sara Errani
ATP Challenger
15.11.22	Clara Burel - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Sara Errani - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.22	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Marie Benoit - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
25.10.22	Joanne Zuger - Sara Errani	Zuger J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Warsaw
28.07.22	Sara Errani - Kateryna Baindl	Errani S. retired
ATP Challenger
17.06.22	Kateryna Baindl - Sara Errani	0:2
WTA Tianjin
11.10.17	Sara Errani - Kateryna Baindl	2:0

Kateryna Baindl - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide