Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: FLORIANOPOLIS (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Sara Errani		Sara Bejlek

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.66	1.5
	2.25	1.57
	3	1.38	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.02)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Errani
36.7%

Sara Bejlek
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Errani's form might have worsened.

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sara Bejlek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Errani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sara Bejlek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	0%	87.1%

Sara Errani - Sara Bejlek Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Bejlek will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

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Preview

Recent matches Errani is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bejlek in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Errani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bejlek will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bejlek to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Errani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Errani
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Sara Errani - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.23	Sara Errani - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Dalma Galfi - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Linda Fruhvirtova - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW
- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Diane Parry - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Nadia Podoroska - Sara Bejlek	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Sara Bejlek - Panna Udvardy	2:1 ✺
16.11.23	Sara Bejlek - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Anna Bondar - Sara Bejlek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Sara Errani - Sara Bejlek	0:2

Sara Errani - Sara Bejlek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide