Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - Final

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Katharina Hobgarski		Antonia Schmidt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.13
	1.32	3.02	Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.59)	3.12 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katharina Hobgarski
70.2%

Antonia Schmidt
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katharina Hobgarski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katharina Hobgarski's performance.

Antonia Schmidt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antonia Schmidt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katharina Hobgarski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antonia Schmidt than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antonia Schmidt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katharina Hobgarski - Antonia Schmidt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 298. Schmidt is ranked WTA: 414.

Now, both players are in good form.

Hobgarski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hobgarski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hobgarski won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Katharina Hobgarski - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Julia Stusek	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Nellie Taraba Wallberg	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Katarina Jokic - Katharina Hobgarski	Jokic K. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWW?
- Antonia Schmidt
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Jennifer Ruggeri - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Antonia Schmidt - Georgia Pedone	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Antonia Schmidt - Beatrice Ricci	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Antonia Schmidt - Iva Ivanova	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Julie Struplova - Antonia Schmidt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Katharina Hobgarski - Antonia Schmidt	2:0
26.06.24	Antonia Schmidt - Katharina Hobgarski	1:2

Katharina Hobgarski - Antonia Schmidt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide