Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Katharina Hobgarski		Yaroslava Bartashevich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4
	1.28	3.41
	1.28	3.48	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	3.37 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katharina Hobgarski
72.4%

Yaroslava Bartashevich
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katharina Hobgarski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katharina Hobgarski's performance.

Yaroslava Bartashevich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yaroslava Bartashevich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katharina Hobgarski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslava Bartashevich than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yaroslava Bartashevich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katharina Hobgarski - Yaroslava Bartashevich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 352. Bartashevich is ranked WTA: 484.

Recent matches Hobgarski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bartashevich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bartashevich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hobgarski will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Katharina Hobgarski	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Ksenia Efremova - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Jizel Matos Sequeira Fernandes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Yaroslava Bartashevich
ITF Tournaments
08.04.25	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Ikumi Yamazaki	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Yaroslava Bartashevich	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Amelia Rajecki - Yaroslava Bartashevich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

Katharina Hobgarski - Yaroslava Bartashevich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide