Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Sumter, SC, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday


	Katherine Sebov		Lea Ma

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
			Watch
	1.68	2.1
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.34)	2.39 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katherine Sebov
60.4%

Lea Ma
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katherine Sebov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katherine Sebov's form might have worsened.

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lea Ma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katherine Sebov than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katherine Sebov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lea Ma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Katherine Sebov - Lea Ma Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ma will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Ma (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lea Ma will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ma (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

Sebov is ranked WTA: 287. Ma is ranked WTA: 345.

Recent performances by Sebov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sebov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sebov is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katherine Sebov
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	En Shuo Liang - Katherine Sebov	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Katherine Sebov - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Katherine Sebov - Nagi Hanatani	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Lauren Davis - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Katherine Sebov - Iryna Shymanovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Lea Ma - Kristina Liutova	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Robin Anderson - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Martina Okalova - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Haley Giavara - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Jaeda Daniel - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

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