Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Katherine Sebov		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.52	1.54
	5.19	1.13	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.47)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katherine Sebov
33.5%

Mary Stoiana
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katherine Sebov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katherine Sebov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Katherine Sebov - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sebov (votes: 1 - 50%). Stoiana (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Stoiana (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sebov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoiana (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sebov is ranked WTA: 270. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 185.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stoiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sebov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katherine Sebov
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Katherine Sebov - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Katherine Sebov	1:2 ✺
WTA Ostrava
01.02.26	Katherine Sebov - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.01.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWL
- Mary Stoiana
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.26	Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ema Burgic - Mary Stoiana	Burgic E. retired ✺
04.02.26	Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Mary Stoiana - Katherine Sebov	1:2

Katherine Sebov - Mary Stoiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide