Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Madison Brengle		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.63
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.98)	1.55 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Brengle
40%

Mary Stoiana
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Brengle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madison Brengle's performance.

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mary Stoiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Brengle than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brengle is ranked WTA: 400. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 185.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Brengle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stoiana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brengle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Brengle
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Madison Brengle - Katrina Scott	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Shilin Xu - Madison Brengle	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Madison Brengle - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Madison Brengle - Akasha Urhobo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Mary Stoiana
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.26	Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ema Burgic - Mary Stoiana	Burgic E. retired ✺
04.02.26	Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Mary Stoiana - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Madison Brengle - Mary Stoiana	1:2
11.08.23	Mary Stoiana - Madison Brengle	0:2

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