Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Kathinka Von Deichmann		Julia Riera

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.79	1.46
	2.66	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.69	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.1)	1.45 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kathinka Von Deichmann
35.2%

Julia Riera
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kathinka Von Deichmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kathinka Von Deichmann's form might have worsened.

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Julia Riera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kathinka Von Deichmann than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kathinka Von Deichmann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Riera than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Julia Riera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kathinka Von Deichmann - Julia Riera Predictions

Users Predictions: Julia Riera will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Von Deichmann is ranked WTA: 154. Riera is ranked WTA: 186.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Von Deichmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kathinka Von Deichmann - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kathinka Von Deichmann
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Georgia Pedone - Kathinka Von Deichmann	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Veronika Erjavec - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Sayaka Ishii - Kathinka Von Deichmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW
- Julia Riera
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Julia Riera - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Angela Fita Boluda - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Varvara Gracheva - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Julia Riera - Mathilde Lollia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL

Kathinka Von Deichmann - Julia Riera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide